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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −512.55₴

Invest at least 1 172.44₴

Average return 659.90₴

ROI −43.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 172.44 ₴, profit at most −512.55 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

337.68 ₴

at 48.24

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

45.49 ₴

at 45.49

Steam

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

96.43 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 479.60 ₴ +180.30 (+37.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

289.44 ₴

at 48.24

Steam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

144.64 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

194.87 ₴

at 194.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 628.95 ₴ +69.66 (+11.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

44.80 ₴

at 44.80

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

337.68 ₴

at 48.24

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

45.49 ₴

at 45.49

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

48.21 ₴

at 48.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 476.19 ₴ +145.00 (+30.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

89.61 ₴

at 44.80

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

337.68 ₴

at 48.24

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

45.49 ₴

at 45.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 472.78 ₴ +109.71 (+23.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

404.58 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

1 078.43 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

393.01 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

1 123.83 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 117.40 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

970.17 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 only The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +79.05 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +146.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2689831 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 152.06₴ · invest 479.57₴
Sawed-Off | Devourer: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 7; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163466 instead of 0.163026; G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163466 instead of 0.163026; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163466 instead of 0.163026

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build