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The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −363.21₴

Invest at least 828.46₴

Average return 465.24₴

ROI −43.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 828.46 ₴, profit at most −363.21 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

74.36 ₴

at 37.18

Steam

×8

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

256.42 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 330.78 ₴ +134.47 (+40.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 88%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 4%

in profit

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

554.28 ₴ 80.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

246.79 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

877.22 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.007026

368.62 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

242.45 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146891

555.08 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +49.60 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +85.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2693659 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 140.11₴ · invest 336.65₴
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005528 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2682245 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 131.60₴ · invest 289.46₴
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003941 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2703847 · The Safehouse Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 130.33₴ · invest 325.29₴
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2702316 · The Radiant Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 127.98₴ · invest 320.12₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005630 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2703317 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 124.04₴ · invest 305.04₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2692863 · The Gallery Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 116.66₴ · invest 319.88₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005914 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2673087 · The Achroma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 110.68₴ · invest 318.48₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.006110 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2679422 · The Breakout Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 106.62₴ · invest 309.15₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005405 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2683509 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 105.49₴ · invest 303.46₴
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005912

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build