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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −302.96₴

Invest at least 1 048.54₴

Average return 745.58₴

ROI −28.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 048.54 ₴, profit at most −302.96 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

148.71 ₴

at 37.18

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

100.27 ₴

at 33.42

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

208.06 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 457.05 ₴ +288.54 (+63.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

25.32 ₴

at 25.32

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

37.18 ₴

at 37.18

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

66.85 ₴

at 33.42

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

416.13 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 545.48 ₴ +390.71 (+71.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

355.16 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 386.78 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 328.64 ₴ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

112.70 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

246.79 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

93.02 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

368.62 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

242.45 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184624

48.24 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +132.65 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +218.42 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build