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The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −111.53₴

Invest at least 226.77₴

Average return 115.24₴

ROI −49.2%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 226.77 ₴, profit at most −111.53 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

44.72 ₴

at 6.39

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

24.74 ₴

at 12.37

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

26.88 ₴

at 26.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.34 ₴ +18.90 (+19.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

98.76 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.89 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155.40 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

64.63 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121.63 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

106.29 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

512.97 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

306.04 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

269.86 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.90 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.41 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2691796 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 17.48₴ · invest 89.62₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076220 instead of 0.074001; SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New): float at most 0.005443 instead of 0.003501

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build