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The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −447.70₸

Invest at least 4 126.71₸

Average return 3 679.01₸

ROI −10.8%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 4 126.71 ₸, profit at most −447.70 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

374.35 ₸

at 124.78

Steam

×5

P250 | Verdigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

908.21 ₸

at 181.64

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

469.40 ₸

at 234.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 751.97 ₸ +1 927.04 (+110.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

128.91 ₸

at 64.45

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

499.14 ₸

at 124.78

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Crypsis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

339.95 ₸

at 169.98

Steam

×2

P250 | Verdigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

363.28 ₸

at 181.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 331.28 ₸ +1 199.82 (+90.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 14%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 602.65 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7 880.97 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 914.51 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

2 680.68 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

675.73 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

996.26 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 310.34 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 567.67 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

652.02 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 227.01 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 213.44 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 618.12 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2677901 · The Boreal Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2 071.29₸ · invest 1 898.45₸
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074653; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074653
Craft 2688713 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 872.46₸ · invest 1 746.76₸
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074364 instead of 0.074653; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074364 instead of 0.074653
Craft 2702022 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1 808.50₸ · invest 1 914.73₸
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074653; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074653
Craft 2685205 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 764.28₸ · invest 1 895.52₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2686602 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 756.13₸ · invest 1 948.91₸
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074647 instead of 0.074653; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074647 instead of 0.074653
Craft 2698342 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 676.84₸ · invest 1 606.46₸
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074013 instead of 0.074653; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074013 instead of 0.074653
Craft 2679310 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 606.93₸ · invest 2 228.53₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075891 instead of 0.074653; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075891 instead of 0.074653
Craft 2701010 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 583.24₸ · invest 2 516.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074264 instead of 0.074653; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074264 instead of 0.074653

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build