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The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −36.82₴

Invest at least 68.74₴

Average return 31.92₴

ROI −53.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 68.74 ₴, profit at most −36.82 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

7.64 ₴

at 7.64

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

6.52 ₴

at 2.17

Steam

×6

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

14.94 ₴

at 2.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.10 ₴ +2.82 (+9.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

2.26 ₴

at 2.26

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.64 ₴

at 7.64

Steam

×8

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

19.92 ₴

at 2.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.82 ₴ +1.56 (+5.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

P90 | Teardown

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32.37 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

20.68 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58.95 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075833

48.94 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

37.24 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076999

18.82 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081666

19.33 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.06 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2698949 · The Lake Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.95₴ · invest 29.33₴
rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build