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The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −296.01₴

Invest at least 868.24₴

Average return 572.23₴

ROI −34.1%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 868.24 ₴, profit at most −296.01 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

56.47 ₴

at 18.82

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

153.01 ₴

at 38.25

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

33.42 ₴

at 33.42

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

138.71 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 381.61 ₴ +190.62 (+50.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

75.29 ₴

at 18.82

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

76.51 ₴

at 38.25

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

277.42 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 429.22 ₴ +226.64 (+52.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

94.11 ₴

at 18.82

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

114.76 ₴

at 38.25

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

138.71 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 347.58 ₴ +141.03 (+40.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 85%

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

376.71 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

362.42 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

355.16 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 386.78 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 328.64 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

254.35 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 56.47 → 127.62 ₴

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 153.01 → 361.88 ₴

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 33.42 → 72.20 ₴

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 138.71 → 306.55 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.048999, 0.048999, 0.036099, 0.055999, 0.047599, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +92.69 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +145.33 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2683728 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 207.10₴ · invest 307.14₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred), M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162127 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074218 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2701693 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 203.47₴ · invest 268.70₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161771 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074094 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2680530 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 194.51₴ · invest 321.05₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161878 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074131 instead of 0.074419
Craft 2702132 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 173.25₴ · invest 374.87₴
rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161596 instead of 0.162705; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074033 instead of 0.074419

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build