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The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −587.74₽

Invest at least 1 938.63₽

Average return 1 350.89₽

ROI −30.3%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 1 938.63 ₽, profit at most −587.74 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

383.50 ₽

at 76.70

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

186.45 ₽

at 62.15

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

257.92 ₽

at 128.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 827.87 ₽ +523.02 (+63.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

179.40 ₽

at 44.85

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

383.50 ₽

at 76.70

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

62.15 ₽

at 62.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 625.05 ₽ +130.38 (+20.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

161.28 ₽

at 53.76

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

383.50 ₽

at 76.70

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

124.30 ₽

at 62.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 669.08 ₽ +235.21 (+35.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

42.86 ₽

at 42.86

Steam

×3

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

230.10 ₽

at 76.70

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

124.30 ₽

at 62.15

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

515.84 ₽

at 128.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 913.10 ₽ +586.65 (+64.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 65%
About break-even 10%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

660.39 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 297.52 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

2 470.52 ₽ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

209.56 ₽ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

631.44 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

536.85 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

936.75 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

842.57 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

540.11 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +249.66 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +406.99 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2693070 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 565.67₽ · invest 809.33₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161671 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074059 instead of 0.074988
Craft 2667734 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 511.42₽ · invest 733.22₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162967 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074510 instead of 0.074988
Craft 2704755 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 511.31₽ · invest 665.47₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2697387 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 496.77₽ · invest 758.31₽
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) instead of nothing; CZ75-Auto | Eco: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Nova | Toy Soldier: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 5; Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): float at most 0.003592 instead of 0.004365; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161804 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074105 instead of 0.074988
Craft 2683729 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 486.89₽ · invest 689.47₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New)
Craft 2694579 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 457.59₽ · invest 644.18₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163292 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074623 instead of 0.074988
Craft 2680531 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 446.75₽ · invest 619.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074988
Craft 2701264 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 442.84₽ · invest 708.02₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161988 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074169 instead of 0.074988
Craft 2704040 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 437.24₽ · invest 754.81₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161700 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074988
Craft 2676887 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 434.63₽ · invest 727.19₽
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074781 instead of 0.074988

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build