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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2.21$

Invest at least 11.01$

Average return 8.80$

ROI −20.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 11.01 $, profit at most −2.21 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

1.13 $

at 0.56

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.97 $

at 0.39

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.62 $

at 0.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.72 $ +4.09 (+86.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

22.81 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.40 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

4.94 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.88 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

7.93 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.057399

7.88 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

6.90 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.60 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2697230 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.14$ · invest 5.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 2676758 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.94$ · invest 5.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2702323 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.87$ · invest 5.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 2673093 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.86$ · invest 4.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2701522 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.79$ · invest 4.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2683511 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.78$ · invest 4.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 2704003 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3.77$ · invest 4.96$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2703319 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.75$ · invest 4.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3
Craft 2694402 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.74$ · invest 4.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2680387 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.70$ · invest 4.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2696675 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.62$ · invest 5.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2690206 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.62$ · invest 5.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2692865 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.62$ · invest 5.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074471 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2703940 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.61$ · invest 4.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 2682247 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.58$ · invest 4.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074537 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074537 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2703974 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.56$ · invest 4.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 2684355 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.55$ · invest 5.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)
Craft 2685381 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.55$ · invest 4.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2667635 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.26$ · invest 4.99$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2686788 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.19$ · invest 4.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074793 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build