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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −173.77₴

Invest at least 551.26₴

Average return 377.50₴

ROI −31.5%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 551.26 ₴, profit at most −173.77 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

53.76 ₴

at 26.88

Steam

×3

Negev | Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

94.58 ₴

at 31.53

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

88.55 ₴

at 17.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.88 ₴ +140.61 (+59.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 12%
About break-even 12%

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

449.37 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

512.97 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

306.04 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

269.86 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

1 025.39 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

332.83 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.034444

222.28 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

354.21 ₴ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.91 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +117.58 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2703909 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 182.22₴ · invest 185.99₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076249 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2678000 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 164.43₴ · invest 166.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2701126 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 158.46₴ · invest 213.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Sergeant: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074188 instead of 0.074076; Negev | Terrain (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 3; Negev | Terrain (Factory New): float at most 0.003665 instead of 0.003567; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074188 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2676759 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 157.81₴ · invest 219.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076021 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2702324 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 147.45₴ · invest 206.84₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074524 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2703941 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 143.33₴ · invest 177.17₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2685382 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.41₴ · invest 175.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2703910 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 140.11₴ · invest 183.02₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2680388 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.02₴ · invest 198.66₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2696676 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.64₴ · invest 219.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074584 instead of 0.074076
Craft 2685383 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.16₴ · invest 175.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.074076

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build