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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −7.87$

Invest at least 24.24$

Average return 16.37$

ROI −32.5%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 24.24 $, profit at most −7.87 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

5.36 $

at 1.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

1.35 $

at 1.35

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

3.41 $

at 0.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.13 $ +6.24 (+61.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

4.29 $

at 1.07

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3.41 $

at 0.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3.08 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.78 $ +5.49 (+50.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.07 $

at 1.07

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

4.26 $

at 0.85

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

6.16 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.50 $ +4.63 (+40.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 15%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

20.25 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

31.83 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

12.82 $ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

11.28 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

29.92 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

14.91 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.034444

12.83 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

16.31 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 only The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build