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The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −430.16₽

Invest at least 1 581.01₽

Average return 1 150.86₽

ROI −27.2%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 581.01 ₽, profit at most −430.16 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

149.94 ₽

at 49.98

Steam

×3

Negev | Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

175.86 ₽

at 58.62

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

124.30 ₽

at 62.15

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

257.92 ₽

at 128.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 708.02 ₽ +442.84 (+62.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162999

197.64 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

953.84 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

569.07 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.026599

501.78 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

660.39 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

6 297.52 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 470.52 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

472.94 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 149.94 → 338.86 ₽

Negev | Terrain (Factory New) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 175.86 → 397.44 ₽

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 124.30 → 274.70 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 257.92 → 570.00 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.162999, 0.069999, 0.134999, 0.026599, 0.036099, 0.055999, 0.047599, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +208.60 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +342.85 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2693070 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 565.67₽ · invest 809.33₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161671 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074059 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2697388 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 523.02₽ · invest 827.87₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2667734 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 511.42₽ · invest 733.22₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162967 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074510 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2704755 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 511.31₽ · invest 665.47₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2697387 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 496.77₽ · invest 758.31₽
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161804 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074105 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2683729 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 486.89₽ · invest 689.47₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2694579 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 457.59₽ · invest 644.18₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163292 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074623 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2680531 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 446.75₽ · invest 619.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2704040 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 437.24₽ · invest 754.81₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161700 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074169
Craft 2676887 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 434.63₽ · invest 727.19₽
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.161988; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074781 instead of 0.074169

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build