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The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −16.40$

Invest at least 143.88$

Average return 127.48$

ROI −11.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 143.88 $, profit at most −16.40 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

50.82 $

at 5.65

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4.73 $

at 4.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.55 $ +71.92 (+129.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

4.61 $

at 4.61

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

11.29 $

at 5.65

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

14.20 $

at 4.73

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

38.09 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.19 $ +24.69 (+36.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

22.59 $

at 5.65

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

14.20 $

at 4.73

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

28.57 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 65.35 $ +33.29 (+51.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

9.22 $

at 4.61

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

16.94 $

at 5.65

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

9.47 $

at 4.73

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

28.57 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.19 $ +40.22 (+62.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

4.61 $

at 4.61

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

28.23 $

at 5.65

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

9.47 $

at 4.73

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

19.04 $

at 9.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.35 $ +48.82 (+79.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

414.65 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

21.85 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

23.19 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

53.18 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.063333

120.75 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

86.82 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53.53 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +69.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2701140 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 74.41$ · invest 53.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2697588 · The Huntsman Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 73.00$ · invest 59.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162881 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2701166 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 72.95$ · invest 59.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2697037 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 70.93$ · invest 55.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2699431 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 70.75$ · invest 59.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163943 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2692619 · The Gallery Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 70.42$ · invest 52.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2701102 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 69.73$ · invest 55.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2701274 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 69.16$ · invest 57.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.166502
Craft 2701306 · The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 67.41$ · invest 64.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164439 instead of 0.166502

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build