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The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −4.66$

Invest at least 13.19$

Average return 8.53$

ROI −35.3%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 13.19 $, profit at most −4.66 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

4.25 $

at 0.71

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1.06 $

at 0.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.32 $ +3.21 (+60.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2.83 $

at 0.71

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

0.27 $

at 0.27

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.32 $

at 0.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.42 $ +2.90 (+45.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

12.88 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

5.45 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5.66 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.34 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.01 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

16.24 $ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.74 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Radiant Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2697374 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 4.04$ · invest 6.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)
Craft 2676864 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3.41$ · invest 6.24$
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.163068

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Radiant Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build