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The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −31 401.23₸

Invest at least 77 988.98₸

Average return 46 587.76₸

ROI −40.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 77 988.98 ₸, profit at most −31 401.23 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3 510.50 ₸

at 3 510.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1 731.08 ₸

at 1 731.08

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

25 740.21 ₸

at 3 217.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 981.79 ₸ +15 605.97 (+50.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

2 526.01 ₸

at 2 526.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

3 510.50 ₸

at 3 510.50

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

25 740.21 ₸

at 3 217.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31 776.72 ₸ +12 985.45 (+40.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

14 041.99 ₸

at 3 510.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

4 604.91 ₸

at 4 604.91

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

16 087.63 ₸

at 3 217.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34 734.53 ₸ +4 550.98 (+13.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

20 511.71 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 838.91 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

25 034.59 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074374

44 328.08 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 546.19 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 637.20 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2685324 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 16 054.44₸ · invest 30 621.27₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162431 instead of 0.165188; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2683451 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 15 943.11₸ · invest 34 277.17₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172999 instead of 0.165188; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2691060 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 15 753.04₸ · invest 31 990.53₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172999 instead of 0.165188; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077999 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2685325 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14 992.66₸ · invest 33 349.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165888 instead of 0.165188; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075526 instead of 0.075282

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build