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The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −55.37$

Invest at least 98.77$

Average return 43.40$

ROI −56.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 98.77 $, profit at most −55.37 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

3.15 $

at 3.15

Steam

×8

P2000 | Wicked Sick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

27.60 $

at 3.45

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

9.48 $

at 9.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.23 $ +3.17 (+7.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

34.61 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

55.07 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171874

90.46 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

100.71 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.22 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2703021 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.08$ · invest 38.11$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384148 instead of 0.384742; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163629 instead of 0.165584
Craft 2693610 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2.88$ · invest 43.52$
rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 2703103 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.87$ · invest 42.79$
R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383600 instead of 0.384742; P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161829 instead of 0.165584

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build