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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −25.85$

Invest at least 75.29$

Average return 49.44$

ROI −34.3%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 75.29 $, profit at most −25.85 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

18.03 $

at 2.58

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

5.50 $

at 5.50

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

7.88 $

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.42 $ +18.02 (+57.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

18.03 $

at 2.58

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

11.01 $

at 5.50

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

3.94 $

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.98 $ +19.55 (+59.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2.17 $

at 2.17

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

12.88 $

at 2.58

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

15.77 $

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.82 $ +12.46 (+40.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

1.54 $

at 1.54

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

5.15 $

at 2.58

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2.40 $

at 2.40

Steam

×6

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

23.65 $

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.74 $ +1.29 (+3.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 42%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

115.05 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.81 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

29.99 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

29.88 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

23.81 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

18.22 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

42.04 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.40 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.98 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2702335 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.93$ · invest 34.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New), MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.076406
Craft 2704076 · The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 20.61$ · invest 34.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074114 instead of 0.076406
Craft 2704005 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 18.89$ · invest 30.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074822 instead of 0.076406
Craft 2684362 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.54$ · invest 32.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New), MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.076406
Craft 2703327 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.24$ · invest 30.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New), MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074748 instead of 0.076406

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build