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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −221.60$

Invest at least 752.65$

Average return 531.05$

ROI −29.4%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 752.65 $, profit at most −221.60 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −97.47 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

42.01 $

at 42.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

19.62 $

at 19.62

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

239.20 $

at 29.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 300.83 $ +230.22 (+76.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −312 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

294.06 $

at 42.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

29.90 $

at 29.90

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

97.31 $

at 48.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 421.28 $ +157.12 (+37.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −196 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

210.05 $

at 42.01

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

119.60 $

at 29.90

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

48.66 $

at 48.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 378.30 $ +184.31 (+48.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −435 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

336.07 $

at 42.01

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

86.25 $

at 86.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

48.66 $

at 48.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 470.98 $ +123.20 (+26.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

743.07 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

365.83 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

505.70 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

879.06 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +168.35 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +228.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2693187 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 215.30$ · invest 277.46$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.162546; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2705229 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 211.04$ · invest 299.29$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363
Craft 2705153 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 209.37$ · invest 284.12$
sale unreliable marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.162546; StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074363

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build