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The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −160.88₴

Invest at least 687.76₴

Average return 526.88₴

ROI −23.4%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 687.76 ₴, profit at most −160.88 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

124.04 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

100.27 ₴

at 33.42

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

69.35 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 293.66 ₴ +233.22 (+79.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | O.S.I.P.R.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

31.01 ₴

at 15.50

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

124.04 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1720

66.85 ₴

at 33.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.89 ₴ +105.01 (+47.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | O.S.I.P.R.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

15.50 ₴

at 15.50

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

82.69 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

66.85 ₴

at 33.42

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

208.06 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 373.11 ₴ +253.76 (+68.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M249 | O.S.I.P.R.

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

77.52 ₴

at 15.50

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

82.69 ₴

at 20.67

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

33.42 ₴

at 33.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 193.64 ₴ +33.28 (+17.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 12%

about break-even

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

332.50 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079882

99.04 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

44.51 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.053529

81.14 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172.66 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.038941

355.16 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.065882

3 386.78 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 328.64 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

112.70 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +128.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +186.13 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2700780 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 277.09₴ · invest 321.58₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166170 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075624 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2704613 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 245.05₴ · invest 273.95₴
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2694578 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 225.72₴ · invest 310.51₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161958 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074159 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2702478 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 219.65₴ · invest 346.42₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162917 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074493 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2704450 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 219.59₴ · invest 324.43₴
rare inputs

M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) instead of nothing; Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 6; UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New): float at most 0.003853 instead of 0.004146; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162660 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074403 instead of 0.074738
Craft 2701265 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 216.43₴ · invest 364.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), Negev | Terrain (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162629 instead of 0.163623; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074392 instead of 0.074738

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build