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The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −555.28₴

Invest at least 1 248.40₴

Average return 693.12₴

ROI −44.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 248.40 ₴, profit at most −555.28 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

392.05 ₴

at 43.56

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

100.60 ₴

at 100.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 492.65 ₴ +200.46 (+40.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 229.83 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593.99 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

660.12 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081499

379.39 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

1 015.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

377.52 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

303.73 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +87.34 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +172.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spy Tech Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2670178 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 219.69₴ · invest 567.98₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076489 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2696379 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 205.15₴ · invest 510.57₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build