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The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −13.39$

Invest at least 29.36$

Average return 15.97$

ROI −45.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 29.36 $, profit at most −13.39 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

8.72 $

at 0.97

Steam

×1

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2.97 $

at 2.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.69 $ +4.28 (+36.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AUG | Signal Scanner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1742

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×6

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

5.81 $

at 0.97

Steam

×3

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

8.92 $

at 2.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.18 $ +0.69 (+4.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27.36 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.21 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.68 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

25.85 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

9.90 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.66 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.60 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spy Tech Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2704982 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 4.38$ · invest 11.72$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076315 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2704971 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 4.19$ · invest 13.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075423 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build