to all crafts

The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −10.67$

Invest at least 34.23$

Average return 23.56$

ROI −31.2%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 34.23 $, profit at most −10.67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

1.49 $

at 0.74

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

10.80 $

at 1.54

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.58 $

at 1.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.86 $ +9.70 (+70.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1.49 $

at 0.74

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.26 $

at 1.54

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1.58 $

at 1.58

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2.24 $

at 2.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.56 $ +7.50 (+51.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

1.49 $

at 0.74

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

7.71 $

at 1.54

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

3.15 $

at 1.58

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

2.24 $

at 2.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.59 $ +5.97 (+40.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1.49 $

at 0.74

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

6.17 $

at 1.54

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

4.73 $

at 1.58

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

2.24 $

at 2.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.62 $ +4.43 (+30.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

1.49 $

at 0.74

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

4.63 $

at 1.54

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

6.30 $

at 1.58

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

2.24 $

at 2.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.66 $ +2.90 (+19.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

7.90 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75.34 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

29.56 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.51 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089374

8.44 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

22.59 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

8.40 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

6.76 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Vertigo Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.73 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.45 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2697893 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.69$ · invest 13.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163100 instead of 0.161857; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074556 instead of 0.074124
Craft 2697894 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.59$ · invest 13.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164741 instead of 0.161857; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075127 instead of 0.074124
Craft 2705139 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 8.96$ · invest 15.28$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165612 instead of 0.161857; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075430 instead of 0.074124
Craft 2705131 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 8.85$ · invest 15.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165571 instead of 0.161857; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075416 instead of 0.074124

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build