The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit · by float −967 275.58₸ by average prices it would be +152 887.07

Invest 1 626 449.04₸

Average return 659 173.46₸

ROI −59.5% market check 15.10 14:34 MSK

Chance of profit 9%

With float: invest at least 1 340 022.71 ₸, profit at most −644 616.28 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 273 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 4.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −353 358.75 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×5

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

542 519.31 ₸

at 108 503.86

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 542 519.31 ₸ +152 887.07 (+28.2%)

What you get 22 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 23%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

598 617.94 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

924 837.59 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

778 707.14 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.55%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

683 598.94 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

436 743.77 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

544 202.97 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

790 901.30 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

838 972.14 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

670 270.72 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

679 794.17 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371 868.71 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 018 068.07 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

644 498.39 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

608 862.48 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

729 824.12 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

787 308.06 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

394 543.63 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333 316.82 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

630 363.62 ₸ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 914 670.47 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770 493.86 ₸ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → a knife or gloves

Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted Variant 3 Restricted → Classified Variant 4 Classified → Covert

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +148 932.99 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +150 636.72 ₸ historical median

9% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 22 outcomes

More

How to build