The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −22 508.67₽

Invest at least 39 948.24₽

Average return 17 439.56₽

ROI −56.3%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest at least 39 948.24 ₽, profit at most −22 508.67 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 548 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5017

14 000.00 ₽

at 3 500.00

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

3 165.85 ₽

at 3 165.85

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 165.85 ₽ +273.71 (+1.6%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 71%
About break-even 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

14 004.27 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

12 800.68 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

9 612.62 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

18 737.49 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

10 802.30 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

9 764.26 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

7 270.49 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

16 862.23 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

26 915.33 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

46 794.39 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

26 232.00 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

8 441.75 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

36 533.87 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

16 203.45 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

16 634.70 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

21 804.20 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

17 005.36 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

12 538.70 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

9 193.92 ₽ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

14 215.77 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

87 768.03 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

46 873.36 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

27 584.38 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118108

18 446.83 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

11 390.94 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

7 747.73 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

13 203.47 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 838.91 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 284.68 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

14 446.03 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 911.06 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 774.29 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

9 054.37 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 670.42 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Classic Knife

no wear

19 141.66 ₽ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 422.47 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −386.57 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2705900 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 273.71₽ · invest 17 165.85₽
profit on prices without salesat least −10 548 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2706315 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 271.04₽ · invest 17 230.87₽
profit on prices without salesat least −9 874 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.501774
Craft 2706318 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 271.04₽ · invest 17 230.87₽
profit on prices without salesat least −9 874 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.501774

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

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How to build