The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −335 636.56₸

Invest at least 400 251.79₸

Average return 64 615.24₸

ROI −83.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 400 251.79 ₸, profit at most −335 636.56 ₸

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 30.8% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

60 976.27 ₸

at 30 488.13

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

83 433.14 ₸

at 41 716.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

37 549.55 ₸

at 37 549.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 181 958.96 ₸ −117 343.72 (−64.5%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

41 716.57 ₸

at 41 716.57

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

112 648.64 ₸

at 37 549.55

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

94 286.42 ₸

at 94 286.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 248 651.63 ₸ −178 564.45 (−71.8%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 23.1% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

125 149.71 ₸

at 41 716.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

20 512.31 ₸

at 20 512.31

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

37 549.55 ₸

at 37 549.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 183 211.57 ₸ −116 772.32 (−63.7%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 62%
Above the Steam cap 31%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

140 656.02 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

314 692.60 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

61 849.43 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

156 245.76 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

92 358.67 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

68 798.43 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

41 024.67 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

63 104.10 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

94 597.78 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

81 209.76 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 033.31 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82 864.02 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

402 106.52 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

34 224.11 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

25 398.14 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

87 348.75 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

32 221.06 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

23 763.31 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

45 742.70 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

37 648.83 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife

no wear

49 913.57 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 60 976.27 → 134 757.55 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 83 433.14 → 184 387.24 ₸

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 37 549.55 → 81 107.02 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −123 778.56 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −118 532.15 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2711115 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −117 343.70₸ · invest 181 958.96₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2713018 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −117 614.48₸ · invest 205 630.90₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.004288
Craft 2713029 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −117 614.48₸ · invest 205 630.90₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.004288
Craft 2709932 · The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −120 578.50₸ · invest 217 626.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080838 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009483 instead of 0.004288
Craft 2709943 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −120 578.50₸ · invest 217 626.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080838 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.009483 instead of 0.004288
Craft 2713145 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −122 451.56₸ · invest 209 644.55₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086310 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.014271 instead of 0.004288
Craft 2713153 · The Wildfire Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −122 451.56₸ · invest 209 644.55₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.086310 instead of 0.074900; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.014271 instead of 0.004288

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build