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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2.72$

Invest at least 5.05$

Average return 2.34$

ROI −53.8%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 5.05 $, profit at most −2.72 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

0.71 $

at 0.71

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1.34 $

at 0.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.05 $ +0.29 (+14.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

2.25 $ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

4.97 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.037499

11.70 $ 3.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.24 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.06 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2722315 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 0.32$ · invest 1.77$
FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.161714
Craft 2729853 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 0.31$ · invest 1.68$
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164983 instead of 0.161714
Craft 2736493 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 0.31$ · invest 1.69$
MP5-SD | Statics (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.161714
Craft 2736676 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 0.30$ · invest 1.63$
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170731 instead of 0.161714
Craft 2736672 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 0.30$ · invest 1.51$
FAMAS | Teardown (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164062 instead of 0.161714

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build