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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −108.94₸

Invest at least 531.53₸

Average return 422.58₸

ROI −20.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 531.53 ₸, profit at most −108.94 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

54.25 ₸

at 27.13

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

116.54 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×4

SCAR-20 | Zinc

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

57.51 ₸

at 14.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 228.30 ₸ +194.28 (+85.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

43.40 ₸

at 21.70

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

27.13 ₸

at 27.13

souvenirSteam

×7

SCAR-20 | Zinc

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

100.64 ₸

at 14.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 171.17 ₸ +77.85 (+45.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

43.40 ₸

at 21.70

souvenirSteam

×2

Dual Berettas | Silver Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

27.34 ₸

at 13.67

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Zinc

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

86.26 ₸

at 14.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157.01 ₸ +34.13 (+21.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

174.81 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

63.91 ₸

at 63.91

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | Silver Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

13.67 ₸

at 13.67

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Zinc

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

28.75 ₸

at 14.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 281.14 ₸ +199.33 (+70.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

174.81 ₸

at 29.13

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

127.82 ₸

at 63.91

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | Silver Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

13.67 ₸

at 13.67

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Zinc

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

14.38 ₸

at 14.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 330.68 ₸ +207.63 (+62.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.043565

582.80 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

702.97 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

1 111.12 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.040951

611.77 ₸ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Vendetta

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

68.03 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Aeolian Dark

Factory New

float up to 0.056634

121.09 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Snow Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

77.09 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Snow Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.052278

69.45 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98.04 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Achroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +108.35 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +149.04 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Achroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2717197 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 240.07₸ · invest 239.53₸
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074800 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074800 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2716738 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 237.97₸ · invest 239.04₸
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074904 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074904 instead of 0.075072; SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New): float at most 0.004291 instead of 0.004438
Craft 2716889 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 234.07₸ · invest 245.28₸
outcome at usual price

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075482 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075482 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2716887 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 233.53₸ · invest 247.29₸
outcome at usual price

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075707 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075707 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2716890 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 232.48₸ · invest 243.27₸
outcome at usual price

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074816 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074816 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2716832 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 231.88₸ · invest 255.64₸
MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074529 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074529 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2717405 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 227.49₸ · invest 247.62₸
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075707 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075707 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2717404 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 226.60₸ · invest 243.60₸
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076067 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076067 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2717406 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 226.56₸ · invest 245.61₸
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074785 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074785 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2716891 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 200.45₸ · invest 233.94₸
outcome at usual price

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075288 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075288 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2717198 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 197.60₸ · invest 226.94₸
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.075072
Craft 2717407 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 186.94₸ · invest 232.37₸
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076008 instead of 0.075072; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076008 instead of 0.075072

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build