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The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −90.30$

Invest at least 211.90$

Average return 121.60$

ROI −42.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 211.90 $, profit at most −90.30 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.16 $

at 20.16

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

64.01 $

at 7.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.17 $ +37.43 (+44.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.16 $

at 20.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

25.72 $

at 25.72

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

56.90 $

at 7.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.78 $ +30.29 (+29.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.16 $

at 20.16

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

51.43 $

at 25.72

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

49.79 $

at 7.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121.38 $ +23.15 (+19.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.16 $

at 20.16

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

77.15 $

at 25.72

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

42.68 $

at 7.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.98 $ +16.01 (+11.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

20.16 $

at 20.16

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

102.87 $

at 25.72

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

35.56 $

at 7.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 158.59 $ +8.87 (+5.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

52.98 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200.33 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

271.42 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080499

245.57 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +21.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2750110 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 40.81$ · invest 91.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2750135 · The Revolution Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 40.81$ · invest 97.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2726566 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 40.64$ · invest 89.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077999
Craft 2742168 · The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 40.20$ · invest 78.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2737383 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 39.76$ · invest 73.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2749907 · The Revolution Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 38.03$ · invest 83.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 2749964 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 37.90$ · invest 76.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build