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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −3.74$

Invest at least 14.67$

Average return 10.93$

ROI −25.5%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 14.67 $, profit at most −3.74 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4784

0.91 $

at 0.23

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

3.72 $

at 0.93

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.68 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.31 $ +4.62 (+73.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4822

0.69 $

at 0.23

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3.72 $

at 0.93

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.68 $

at 0.68

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1.68 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.76 $ +4.09 (+60.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4818

0.46 $

at 0.23

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

3.72 $

at 0.93

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.04 $

at 0.68

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.84 $

at 0.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.06 $ +3.72 (+52.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 4%

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.87 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.12 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.60 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

5.44 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

14.70 $ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

7.00 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.43 $ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

23.00 $ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

7.87 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

1.93 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2730051 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 5.44$ · invest 5.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2730380 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.26$ · invest 6.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479666 instead of 0.478419; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003775 instead of 0.003617
Craft 2730592 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 5.20$ · invest 6.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479495 instead of 0.478419; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.003617
Craft 2729958 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 5.10$ · invest 6.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2729989 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.83$ · invest 5.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2730350 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4.69$ · invest 5.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478571 instead of 0.478419; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003636 instead of 0.003617
Craft 2730020 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 4.53$ · invest 5.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480555 instead of 0.478419; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003888 instead of 0.003617
Craft 2726842 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 4.47$ · invest 5.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2730655 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.41$ · invest 5.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477594 instead of 0.478419; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003512 instead of 0.003617
Craft 2730623 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.33$ · invest 5.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 5 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479495 instead of 0.478419; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.003617

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build