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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit · with float +1.83$

Invest 60.56$

Average return 62.39$

ROI +3.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 60.56 $, profit +1.83 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 52 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Field-Tested

any lot

5.18 $

at 5.18

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

any lot

29.34 $

at 5.87

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Well-Worn

any lot

25.08 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.60 $ +2.79 (+4.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756000

74.16 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.604800

75.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Asiimov

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.541400

43.07 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.378000

46.66 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2727007 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2.78$ · invest 58.83$
P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build