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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −110.46₽

Invest at least 186.53₽

Average return 76.07₽

ROI −59.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 186.53 ₽, profit at most −110.46 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

7.00 ₽

at 7.00

Steam

×8

Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

59.20 ₽

at 7.40

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

8.37 ₽

at 8.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74.57 ₽ +1.50 (+2.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

97.51 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

79.87 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

113.42 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

91.12 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

82.17 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

39.05 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

41.38 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

43.03 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

35.95 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

37.83 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.76 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.50 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2734751 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1.46₽ · invest 74.54₽
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.515671 instead of 0.486593; Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388358 instead of 0.384657

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build