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The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit · with float −115.54₽

Invest 195.01₽

Average return 79.47₽

ROI −59.2%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest 195.01 ₽, profit −115.54 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈7% of lots fit ≈ enough for 9 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6393

12.79 ₽

at 12.79

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2291

65.34 ₽

at 7.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.13 ₽ +1.34 (+1.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4839

38.37 ₽

at 12.79

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

16.33 ₽

at 16.33

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

43.56 ₽

at 7.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.26 ₽ +19.84 (+20.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4827

51.16 ₽

at 12.79

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

106.95 ₽

at 21.39

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

7.26 ₽

at 7.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.37 ₽ +17.10 (+10.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.219827

57.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S

Field-Tested

float up to 0.234482

91.98 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

149.99 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175862

40.40 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon

Field-Tested

float up to 0.293103

43.34 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.293103

254.63 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.293103

164.71 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.293103

367.80 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.293103

168.89 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.293103

167.21 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.91 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.98 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2742142 · The Genesis Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 1.49₽ · invest 77.18₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build