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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −127.54₴

Invest at least 521.50₴

Average return 393.95₴

ROI −24.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 521.50 ₴, profit at most −127.54 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

82.99 ₴

at 10.37

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

138.71 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.70 ₴ +172.25 (+77.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

82.99 ₴

at 10.37

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

34.45 ₴

at 34.45

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

69.35 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.80 ₴ +111.97 (+59.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10.37 ₴

at 10.37

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

34.45 ₴

at 34.45

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

485.48 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 564.04 ₴ +401.02 (+71.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 31%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

241.86 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194.20 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

335.43 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200.14 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

198.99 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

349.29 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 386.80 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 324.56 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

254.35 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +107.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +148.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build