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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −4 398.64₴

Invest at least 7 519.24₴

Average return 3 120.60₴

ROI −58.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 7 519.24 ₴, profit at most −4 398.64 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5114

2 373.73 ₴

at 263.75

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4622

590.90 ₴

at 590.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 964.62 ₴ +155.98 (+5.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×7

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4871

1 846.23 ₴

at 263.75

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

281.82 ₴

at 281.82

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4574

1 181.79 ₴

at 590.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 309.85 ₴ +26.84 (+0.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.542857

3 333.28 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.434285

3 347.11 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Bloodsport

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244285

6 396.33 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5 254.08 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −201.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2736241 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 170.88₴ · invest 2 964.62₴
rare inputs

MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; AK-47 | Bloodsport: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; USP-S | Neo-Noir: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.511450; CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.559999 instead of 0.462290
Craft 2735802 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 154.67₴ · invest 2 809.35₴
rare inputs

P90 | Trigon (Well-Worn) instead of CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.572659 instead of 0.511450

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build