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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −4 142.62₴

Invest at least 7 163.55₴

Average return 3 020.92₴

ROI −57.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 7 163.55 ₴, profit at most −4 142.62 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4850

2 373.73 ₴

at 263.75

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

426.22 ₴

at 426.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 799.95 ₴ +220.97 (+7.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −226 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×8

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4850

2 109.98 ₴

at 263.75

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4850

416.31 ₴

at 416.31

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

426.22 ₴

at 426.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 952.51 ₴ +140.08 (+4.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −489 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×7

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4850

1 846.23 ₴

at 263.75

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4850

832.62 ₴

at 416.31

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

426.22 ₴

at 426.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 105.08 ₴ +59.18 (+1.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

3 333.28 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3 450.02 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.358749

4 225.76 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Field-Tested

float up to 0.284999

4 205.85 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −156.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +122.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2731649 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 237.51₴ · invest 2 528.61₴
rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Well-Worn) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2734161 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 234.96₴ · invest 2 561.38₴
P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2735656 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 230.71₴ · invest 2 524.31₴
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2735289 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 227.56₴ · invest 2 543.36₴
XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2735944 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 227.53₴ · invest 2 529.79₴
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2735990 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 226.03₴ · invest 2 521.06₴
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 1.000000 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2736027 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 221.98₴ · invest 2 779.77₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2736153 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 218.25₴ · invest 2 530.84₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.485059
Craft 2736195 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 217.38₴ · invest 2 872.83₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Field-Tested; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.485059

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build