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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −98.33$

Invest at least 162.67$

Average return 64.34$

ROI −60.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 162.67 $, profit at most −98.33 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5937

52.81 $

at 5.87

Steam

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5937

11.01 $

at 11.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.82 $ +0.52 (+0.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.593749

74.16 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.474999

75.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.593749

101.02 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

33.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.85 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2736271 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 0.57$ · invest 74.31$
pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | AXIA (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.917388 instead of 0.593749

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build