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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −34.70$

Invest at least 121.17$

Average return 86.46$

ROI −28.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 121.17 $, profit at most −34.70 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −3.59 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

13.48 $

at 1.93

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

14.01 $

at 7.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

25.85 $

at 25.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.34 $ +33.13 (+62.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

3.85 $

at 1.93

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

28.02 $

at 7.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

51.70 $

at 25.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

115.70 $

at 57.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 199.26 $ +22.01 (+11.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

3.85 $

at 1.93

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

21.01 $

at 7.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

51.70 $

at 25.85

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

173.54 $

at 57.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 250.11 $ +16.10 (+6.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

5.78 $

at 1.93

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

35.02 $

at 7.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

51.70 $

at 25.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.50 $ +38.90 (+42.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

3.85 $

at 1.93

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

14.01 $

at 7.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

51.70 $

at 25.85

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

231.39 $

at 57.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 300.95 $ +10.19 (+3.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

38.53 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.014545

28.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

76.01 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

284.64 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.25 $ 5.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.42 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build