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The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −14.48$

Invest at least 33.18$

Average return 18.70$

ROI −43.6%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 33.18 $, profit at most −14.48 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

0.68 $

at 0.68

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

10.65 $

at 1.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

1.91 $

at 1.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.24 $ +5.46 (+41.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1.33 $

at 1.33

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

13.49 $

at 3.37

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

9.57 $

at 1.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.40 $ +0.83 (+3.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

7.99 $

at 1.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

3.37 $

at 3.37

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

5.74 $

at 1.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.10 $ +4.86 (+28.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

6.66 $

at 1.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

3.37 $

at 3.37

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

5.74 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

5.12 $

at 5.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.89 $ +2.71 (+12.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.02 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.068133

21.85 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

11.02 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

43.84 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

53.84 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074666

17.51 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.72 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2739264 · The Fracture Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 5.27$ · invest 14.00$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2738709 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 5.12$ · invest 13.07$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2738999 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4.94$ · invest 12.35$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build