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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −29.24₴

Invest at least 65.54₴

Average return 36.30₴

ROI −44.6%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 65.54 ₴, profit at most −29.24 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1.60 ₴

at 1.60

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

8.58 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×1

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

2.24 ₴

at 2.24

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2091

15.62 ₴

at 3.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.05 ₴ +8.26 (+29.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

2.15 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×7

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

22.29 ₴

at 3.18

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2118

7.81 ₴

at 3.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.24 ₴ +6.39 (+19.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

8.58 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×3

XM1014 | XoooM

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

9.55 ₴

at 3.18

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2109

11.71 ₴

at 3.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.85 ₴ +8.01 (+26.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1.60 ₴

at 1.60

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

10.73 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2091

15.62 ₴

at 3.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.95 ₴ +9.13 (+32.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1.60 ₴

at 1.60

Steam

×5

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

11.21 ₴

at 2.24

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2091

15.62 ₴

at 3.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.43 ₴ +4.75 (+16.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 25%

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

114.05 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075384

32.37 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071076

19.22 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075384

19.26 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

36.02 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

27.30 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.096922

54.72 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

31.01 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1.60 → 3.46 ₴

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 8.58 → 20.30 ₴

Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2.24 → 4.84 ₴

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 15.62 → 36.94 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.107692208

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.075384, 0.071076, 0.075384, 0.064615, 0.053846, 0.096922, 0.107692

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 only The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.48 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.15 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build