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The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −6.05$

Invest at least 17.87$

Average return 11.82$

ROI −33.8%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 17.87 $, profit at most −6.05 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

4.22 $

at 0.84

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1.34 $

at 0.45

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.56 $ +4.26 (+56.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

1.71 $

at 0.43

Steam

×5

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

4.22 $

at 0.84

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1732

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.37 $ +1.56 (+24.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

0.43 $

at 0.43

Steam

×6

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

5.06 $

at 0.84

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1728

1.34 $

at 0.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.83 $ +3.05 (+44.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.11 $ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

7.92 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.63 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.20 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.69 $ 16.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.76 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2741647 · The Gamma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.42$ · invest 6.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162637 instead of 0.168329; R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074395 instead of 0.076375
Craft 2731455 · The Chroma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.32$ · invest 8.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.168329; R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075677 instead of 0.076375
Craft 2737555 · The Falchion Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 4.26$ · invest 7.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168740 instead of 0.168329; R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076518 instead of 0.076375

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build