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The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −2.27$

Invest at least 8.57$

Average return 6.30$

ROI −26.5%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 8.57 $, profit at most −2.27 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.34 $

at 0.22

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1.24 $

at 0.41

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

1.12 $

at 1.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.69 $ +2.60 (+70.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

2.07 $

at 0.41

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

2.23 $

at 1.12

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5.16 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.46 $ +4.86 (+51.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.39 $

at 0.19

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

2.48 $

at 0.41

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

2.23 $

at 1.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.10 $ +3.20 (+62.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1.65 $

at 0.41

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

2.23 $

at 1.12

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

6.88 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.76 $ +5.55 (+51.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.19 $

at 0.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

1.12 $

at 1.12

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

12.03 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.75 $ +6.58 (+47.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.14 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.047031

4.92 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.69 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.45 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.043320

2.48 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

8.43 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

33.29 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

58.98 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.24 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.44 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2745206 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 2.67$ · invest 3.34$
outcome without sales rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Contaminant (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074739 instead of 0.074299; StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New): float at most 0.004147 instead of 0.003761
Craft 2745556 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2.50$ · invest 2.93$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076927 instead of 0.074299; StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New): float at most 0.006061 instead of 0.003761

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build