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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −194.57₴

Invest at least 872.42₴

Average return 677.85₴

ROI −22.3%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 872.42 ₴, profit at most −194.57 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

136.49 ₴

at 27.30

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

101.21 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

138.71 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 376.41 ₴ +301.44 (+80.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

54.60 ₴

at 27.30

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

67.47 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

416.13 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 538.20 ₴ +405.28 (+75.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

163.79 ₴

at 27.30

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

101.21 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

69.35 ₴

at 69.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 334.36 ₴ +254.95 (+76.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

38.33 ₴

at 12.78

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

163.79 ₴

at 27.30

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 235.86 ₴ +87.81 (+37.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 75%

at a loss

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072560

155.09 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333.44 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.064024

322.68 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.039634

349.29 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.068292

3 386.80 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.058048

1 324.56 ₴ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085365

93.95 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +165.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +241.11 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2747773 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 292.98₴ · invest 334.36₴
rare inputs

AUG | Eye of Zapems: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 5; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.004146 instead of 0.003842; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163623 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074738 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2744427 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 286.98₴ · invest 445.70₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2751574 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 274.78₴ · invest 353.61₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2730732 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 264.95₴ · invest 362.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2714958 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.25₴ · invest 396.34₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162967 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074510 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2724157 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 245.01₴ · invest 379.64₴
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear), P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163747 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074781 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2749347 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 244.42₴ · invest 414.50₴
rare inputs

P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161732 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074080 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2727707 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 241.14₴ · invest 329.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162989 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074518 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2748243 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 236.85₴ · invest 384.99₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2741677 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 232.21₴ · invest 354.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162898 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074486 instead of 0.074391
Craft 2744428 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 229.87₴ · invest 410.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.162624; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074391

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build