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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −7.59$

Invest at least 41.03$

Average return 33.44$

ROI −18.5%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 41.03 $, profit at most −7.59 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.04 $

at 1.41

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.70 $

at 1.93

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.51 $

at 2.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.25 $ +16.18 (+93.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

2.82 $

at 1.41

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

17.55 $

at 2.51

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

5.50 $

at 5.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.87 $ +21.01 (+81.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

1.41 $

at 1.41

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

17.55 $

at 2.51

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

11.01 $

at 5.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.97 $ +21.40 (+71.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

5.63 $

at 1.41

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

3.85 $

at 1.93

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

10.03 $

at 2.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.52 $ +18.40 (+94.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

8.45 $

at 1.41

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

1.59 $

at 1.59

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

5.78 $

at 1.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.82 $ +13.13 (+83.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.045294

15.32 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

8.53 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

14.20 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116.89 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.82 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

28.95 $ 16.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.10 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.74 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2736074 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.81$ · invest 15.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074112 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074112 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2750993 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 18.49$ · invest 30.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New), MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076406 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2731373 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.30$ · invest 31.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2732444 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.16$ · invest 20.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076065 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2749860 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.86$ · invest 15.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074353 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074353 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2745564 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.23$ · invest 16.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074587 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074587 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2741525 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.63$ · invest 25.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear), P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2739153 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.48$ · invest 20.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075078 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075078 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2748829 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.00$ · invest 21.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075159 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075159 instead of 0.074697
Craft 2734876 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 14.46$ · invest 28.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 4; MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075404 instead of 0.074697; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 1; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075404 instead of 0.074697

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build