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The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −12.21$

Invest at least 35.23$

Average return 23.02$

ROI −34.7%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 35.23 $, profit at most −12.21 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

0.76 $

at 0.76

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

0.75 $

at 0.75

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

12.34 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.85 $ +9.17 (+66.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

2.28 $

at 0.76

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.77 $

at 1.89

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

6.17 $

at 1.54

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

2.24 $

at 2.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.46 $ +0.91 (+6.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

2.28 $

at 0.76

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

2.55 $

at 2.55

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

9.26 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.08 $ +3.20 (+22.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

1.52 $

at 0.76

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.15 $

at 1.15

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

10.80 $

at 1.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.47 $ +5.73 (+42.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

7.77 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75.35 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

29.47 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.09 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

7.10 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

10.12 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

4.50 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

6.07 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

5.65 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.98 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shattered Web Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2743475 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.79$ · invest 14.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2723359 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.73$ · invest 16.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2744922 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.59$ · invest 14.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2743023 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.55$ · invest 14.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2751938 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 9.53$ · invest 14.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162887 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074482 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2722082 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.41$ · invest 14.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2747429 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.31$ · invest 14.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.075712
Craft 2717990 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.15$ · invest 15.14$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171852 instead of 0.166424; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077600 instead of 0.075712

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build