The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float −8 797.14₴

Invest 19 211.55₴

Average return 10 414.41₴

ROI −45.8%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest 19 211.55 ₴, profit −8 797.14 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −9 067.11 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈35% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (estimate)

×2

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2975

11 290.54 ₴

at 5 645.27

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2975

5 911.73 ₴

at 1 970.58

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 202.27 ₴ −6 787.86 (−39.5%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 14%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 9%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

23 066.21 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

11 463.72 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

7 152.73 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

4 588.79 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

8 541.31 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 571.29 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 033.50 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

7 627.73 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 925.40 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 819.03 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

17 681.71 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

91 458.69 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

56 570.11 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

80 827.13 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

51 456.05 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

29 047.36 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

39 403.91 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

20 499.99 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

11 111.34 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

9 680.39 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

6 067.83 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

3 284.09 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 624.53 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

8 988.15 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

6 203.59 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

4 638.31 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

4 045.78 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

2 429.97 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 851.86 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

18 590.30 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

12 528.71 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

8 120.77 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

4 248.61 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

2 697.21 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 700.07 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

22 477.17 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

11 868.51 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

7 389.02 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

5 353.98 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.716216

3 569.70 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 955.92 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 2 64% of the wear range fits ×1.10 11 290.54 → 12 472.66 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 3 64% of the wear range fits ×1.14 5 911.73 → 6 739.38 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.527026927

outcomes come out up to 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.042162, 0.263513, 0.716216, 0.449999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Breakout Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7 880.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6 904.76 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build