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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −25.37₴

Invest at least 54.77₴

Average return 29.40₴

ROI −46.3%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 54.77 ₴, profit at most −25.37 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

7.56 ₴

at 3.78

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

5.11 ₴

at 1.70

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

10.73 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.40 ₴ +6.00 (+25.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

26.46 ₴

at 3.78

Steam

×2

XM1014 | XoooM

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

2.73 ₴

at 1.37

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

1.70 ₴

at 1.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.90 ₴ +5.15 (+16.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113749

50.76 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

34.49 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

18.88 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

18.88 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Converter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86.96 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

32.05 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

25.38 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Check Engine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

39.80 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The 2021 Mirage Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.51 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2790428 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 7.04₴ · invest 27.70₴
Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested), MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested); Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161746 instead of 0.163394; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 5; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161746 instead of 0.163394

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build