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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −692.97₴

Invest at least 1 601.79₴

Average return 908.82₴

ROI −43.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 601.79 ₴, profit at most −692.97 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

88.74 ₴

at 22.18

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

441.48 ₴

at 88.30

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

139.57 ₴

at 139.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 669.79 ₴ +239.03 (+35.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

66.55 ₴

at 22.18

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

441.48 ₴

at 88.30

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

91.79 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

139.57 ₴

at 139.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 739.39 ₴ +158.70 (+21.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −174 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

22.18 ₴

at 22.18

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

441.48 ₴

at 88.30

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

367.16 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 830.83 ₴ +45.82 (+5.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

66.55 ₴

at 22.18

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

353.18 ₴

at 88.30

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

91.79 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

279.15 ₴

at 139.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 790.67 ₴ +96.70 (+12.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

419.64 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 122.70 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

630.11 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

1 510.39 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

781.97 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

1 010.26 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

842.15 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

525.90 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +86.03 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +172.07 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2762792 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 240.83₴ · invest 655.29₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077392 instead of 0.075056; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006468 instead of 0.004424
Craft 2762138 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 221.54₴ · invest 679.61₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074828 instead of 0.075056; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004225 instead of 0.004424

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build