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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −29.38₴

Invest at least 75.30₴

Average return 45.92₴

ROI −39.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 75.30 ₴, profit at most −29.38 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

2.29 ₴

at 2.29

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Mainframe

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

11.63 ₴

at 3.88

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

17.55 ₴

at 2.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.48 ₴ +14.44 (+45.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

2.29 ₴

at 2.29

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

4.29 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×7

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

20.48 ₴

at 2.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.06 ₴ +4.47 (+16.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

2.29 ₴

at 2.29

Steam

×8

M4A4 | Mainframe

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

31.02 ₴

at 3.88

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.64 ₴

at 7.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.95 ₴ +28.93 (+70.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 15%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090999

50.76 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

34.49 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092399

18.88 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

18.88 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Acheron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116199

93.15 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

88.30 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75.30 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86.76 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Anubis Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.78 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2762056 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 14.31₴ · invest 24.70₴
FAMAS | Vendetta (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162350 instead of 0.164664; M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074295 instead of 0.075100
Craft 2762652 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 11.42₴ · invest 27.76₴
MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162012 instead of 0.164664; M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074178 instead of 0.075100

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build