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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −0.37$

Invest at least 3.55$

Average return 3.18$

ROI −10.5%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 3.55 $, profit at most −0.37 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.50 $

at 0.25

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Corp Defense

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.04 $

at 0.04

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Corp Defense

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.92 $

at 0.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.46 $ +1.71 (+116.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

0.05 $

at 0.05

Steam

×3

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

0.75 $

at 0.25

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Corp Defense

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

0.79 $

at 0.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.59 $ +1.54 (+96.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

AUG | Signal Scanner

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.51 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Dark Operative

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.71 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.40 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.18 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Acheron

Factory New

float up to 0.058099

8.25 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.96 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.68 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1.93 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2771859 · The Boreal Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.55$ · invest 1.25$
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163211 instead of 0.162896; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074595 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2790648 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.53$ · invest 1.30$
XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2796349 · The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.51$ · invest 1.22$
SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2761944 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.51$ · invest 1.37$
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New), FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074686 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2771159 · The Bank Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.50$ · invest 1.15$
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162082 instead of 0.162896; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 7; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074202 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2770603 · The Ascent Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.46$ · invest 1.29$
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2766750 · The Achroma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.46$ · invest 1.27$
FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2797746 · The Safehouse Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1.42$ · invest 1.30$
rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New); FAMAS | Corp Defense (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; FAMAS | Corp Defense (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build