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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −40.22₴

Invest at least 71.33₴

Average return 31.11₴

ROI −56.4%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 71.33 ₴, profit at most −40.22 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

5.71 ₴

at 1.90

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

15.81 ₴

at 2.64

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1761

8.67 ₴

at 8.67

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 30.20 ₴ +0.91 (+3.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 68%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115384

28.10 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138461

35.06 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138461

29.05 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.108461

22.76 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

93.05 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175384

101.15 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115384

95.52 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

106.54 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.57 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.52 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build